Saturday, August 14, 2010

Commin back from cali and a guide to a winning season

I am on a flight back from Los Angeles. I was out there meeting with my wifes producers and also doing a little business of my own. It is amazing how many long term clients I have in California. I don't advertise out there but some of my highest players live in California. I guess it makes sence that the higher players would do more homework before picking someone to advise them on sports selections. That's not to say that a 50.00 per game players money means less to him than the 10k per game player. In fact I thing it is the opposite. The 50.00 player is probably risking a larger percentage of his net worth than the 10k guy so you would think he would do more research on finding the best but it is amazing how many of the 10k per game and up live in la. The good news for my clients is that it doesn't matter to me rather you bet 50 or 50k / game , you are getting the same selections. I give the games I know have the best chance to win to all of my clients. Sounds simple but it is amazing how many services seem to figure out a way to spread out their picks to their clients depending on their wager amount. What does that mean? Are they saying that the 50.00 picks are worst than the higher ones? Why not give all of the top selection winners to all of the paying clients? I would think if they actually could win money betting on games , that would be the most sound business model. Give the winners to all their clients. Could it be that these other services know that they are not good enough to pick consistent winners so they spread out their selections in hopes that some set of games will show a profit? And if they did know they couldn't predict winners wouldn't it behoove them to get as much money as possible out of each client? And wouldn't the easiest way to do that is to start each conversation with "....so how much do you bet per game?". I think I might be on to something? Here are a couple of simple rules when picking a service. 1. If they want to give you a free winner in hopes that you will then sign up for some random amount of money for future picks. It is a scam. 2. If they are soooo good at picking winners or have a true "can't lose lock " then why are the having to call you!?!!?? Wouldn't they have enough clients that they wouldn't need to cold call you? 3. There is no lock of the century!! Unless they are biff from back to the future and have a book that already knows the outcome of the games then there is not a 100 percent lock. No matter what, they can't predict turnovers and in game injuries. So they don't know 100 percent. 4. Use common sense. If it sounds too good to be true, it is. If something sounds fishy don't give them your money. Then 5. Make the same choice that 1000s of guys from around the country do and sign up with me. Ask me the tough questions. Use common sense and get the sames top selections rather you play 50.00 or 10k. They are the best picks there are and they are going to give you a realistic , great chance to make money this season. We are less than 3 weeks away from the season and all monthly and season packages include preseason nfl and baseball for free so don't delay. The monthly packages all run thru 9-30-10 rather you sign up today or wait til 9-1. Its the same price. Have a good week!!
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Monday, August 9, 2010

Betting on the nfl preseason is kind of like playing roulette

Well, the football season is inching closer and the kids are getting ready to go back to school. The nfl preseason is under way and will continue for the next couple of weeks. As most of you know I have always said that " the first sign you may have a gambling problem is if you are betting on the preseason. " now, I break down these games because they are a great learning tool for later in the season. For instance, I learned Sunday night that there is only one player named Palmer on Cincinnatis team worth putting your money on. I send out these preseason selections to anyone that signs up early for my service for free. Despite what some fly by night services may say, there is no value in the preseason so I don't charge for it. Now over the last couple of seasons these free picks have created some problems for my views on these games. Over the last 2 seasons a 100.00 player on these preseason games is up over 3500.00! Exactly. Now I didn't all the sudden find the wholly grail of preseason games it has been a combination of good picks and a lot of good luck. For my clients, they don't care how you win, just that you win. Betting on the preseason is a lot like betting on roulette. When you are winning there is not a more fun game in the casinio. You take your 5.00 and put it on #8 because it was your basketball number in the 8th grade and it hits! You somehow convince yourself that you had a hand in the win and you knew 8 was coming. All that profit! You are the best roulette player in the world. Then you play for 3 more hours and lose 200.00 of your own money. You walk away saying " why in the hell would I give my money away on something so stupid. How in the world can you predict what # is coming up!". Same game but totally different feelings and the fact is, win or lose, a lot of luck was involved. Preseason can be great when you are winning but make no mistake, when we bet on the regular season games , there is very little luck needed to make money over the entire season. Yes you will get lucky some and unlucky some but over the long run we are going to win a lot more than we lose. The preseason however , with the starters not playing much and some teams caring a lot more than others about the outcome , well you might want to look for a roulette wheel before you plop down a lot of money. Enjoy the preseason, take it for what it is and understand that there is a lot of profit waiting for us just a few weeks away.
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Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Its not for everyone...

As we head into August and football season is nearing, my thoughts / life becomes consumed with the season. Educating myself on trades, drafts etc take up some of every day. I also start working on the television/radio shows I do each week and really get my mind focused on making my clients and I money over the next 9 months. I always find it funny when I talk to a critic of services or read a message board on one of the many gambling websites out there. They almost always read the same way ... Some guy asks " hey, anyone out there ever used the fat jack?" what's his deal? Then the posts come rolling in ... " I had a friend that signed up with him and .......". Or " all services are crooks! They are for losers .... ". Or my favorite.. " why would anyone pay for picks? They can't do it on their own...". Honestly, some of you guys that take the time to post on some of these websites amaze me! You do nothing more that show your ignorance. Do you really think the 1000s of clients that come back year after year are wrong? Are you so naïve that you didn't realize some people are wanting to actually make money betting on games? Do you think your little 10.00 office pool or free u pick em site is the only thing people are doing? Guys, get a clue! Let me introduce you to another group of gamblers.. My clients. They have a job. They have a life. They make more than minimum wage. They have kissed a girl, they like betting real money on real sports and are trying to show a profit. They don't have " second life accounts" or blow up dolls to spend their weekends with and most importantly, they don't spend their free time responding to questions on websites that they know nothing about!! Although it is true, most sports services are crooked and prey on the desperate. The reasons to sign up for a honest talented football analysts is actually simple and something that 1000s of guys already know. Look at it this way, if you get thrown in jail and charged with murder you have some options. You can find the cheapest guy out there to represent you. You can defend yourself or you can pay a little more money and get the best attorney you can find. Someone that spends his days working on how to win your case. Someone that has a proven track record of winning and (to relate it to me) is willing to go to jail himself if he doesn't get you aquitted. I play my selections myself so when you win , I win and when you lose I lose. Now I am sure a lot of people out there will say " well jack, I can't afford the best. I don't have 50.00 per game to risk betting on sports. " my answer to them is simple.. Don't sign up!! Don't bet on sports. Don't win!! Its a little like driving a Ferrari " if you have to ask how much then you probably can't or shouldn't afford it. Now don't take that the wrong way. If you are betting more that 50.00 per game, the fact is you can't afford not to sign up with me. My actual cost breaks down to around 6.00 per selection for football and less for hoops. After you sign up I will prove to you my value. I will help make you more money that you thought possible betting on games and I am confident you will join the over 75 percent of my clients each season and choose to sign back up next year. But for those of you that either don't bet on games or are in to "fantasy" , a word of advice... Most services will promise you the moon and deliver nothing more than losses. Most things that sound too good to be true probably are and be very careful when looking for help winning. And for those of you that take your time to respond to questions about my service and my clients. Ask yourself what you really know about me and my success. How long have you been a part of my service? Do you even know one of the 1000s of clients that come back year after year because they know I will help them make real money. If your answer includes info from " a friend" or " you heard" or are about some 25.00 per pick game of the decade service , then I suggest you stay in the kiddie pool and leave the real winning to us. I think Adrian Peterson might be a good fantasy pick in a couple of weeks.
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